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Economists at official institutions do not like President Trump and have allowed their antipathy to him to colour their economic analysis
Effective monetary policy, strong corporate and household balance sheets, cheap energy, expansionary fiscal impulse, a tech sector to die for and a…
Jul 31
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Warwick Lightfoot
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Economists at official institutions do not like President Trump and have allowed their antipathy to him to colour their economic analysis
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English local government: why buoyant income tax revenue explains central control of a system in crisis, where ministerial ambition isn't…
Explaining the functions, complex finance, opaque grant of a centrally controlled policy regime that resiles from responsibility
Jul 17
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Warwick Lightfoot
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English local government: why buoyant income tax revenue explains central control of a system in crisis, where ministerial ambition isn't matched by national funding
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June 2025
Mathematics and Economics or Black Magic and Alchemy?
Economic data is complex, not reliable for causation. Economists should heed Romer’s Mathiness warnings and Keynes, Friedman on statistical alchemy.
Jun 1
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Warwick Lightfoot
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Mathematics and Economics or Black Magic and Alchemy?
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May 2025
US Capital Account and International Finance
US economy has it all: modern productive services, science, and technology, capacity to mobilise the savings of the world to finance its investment, and…
May 17
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Warwick Lightfoot
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US Capital Account and International Finance
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Structure of the US Balance of Payments and Capital Account
Dissecting the US Current Account: Trends, Transformations, and the Path from Hyperglobalization
May 13
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Warwick Lightfoot
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Structure of the US Balance of Payments and Capital Account
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Trump Administration’s Tariff Policy and the case for Unilateral Free Trade
Countries should embrace Ricardo’s Comparative Advantage, open markets, remove tariffs and impediments to trade, give effect to their self interest…
May 6
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Warwick Lightfoot
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Trump Administration’s Tariff Policy and the case for Unilateral Free Trade
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April 2025
Industrial Revolution, inventing Political Economy, relative 20th century British economic decline and the creation of a modern…
It made Victorian Britain egregiously rich, but its costs stimulated a political antithesis that provoked a generation of socialist policies and a…
Apr 14
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Industrial Revolution, inventing Political Economy, relative 20th century British economic decline and the creation of a modern post-industrial economy
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March 2025
UK’s Spring Economic Statement focuses on Redundant Fiscal Rules, Neglecting falling Productivity, Profits, the falling Rate of Return on…
UK has supply-side problems arising from high public spending, taxation and labour market regulation that deliver weak productivity and falling profits
Mar 31
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Warwick Lightfoot
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UK’s Spring Economic Statement focuses on Redundant Fiscal Rules, Neglecting falling Productivity, Profits, the falling Rate of Return on Capital and Structural Problems from higher Public Spending
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Kaput: German and European Economic Institutions set up for economic success sixty years ago are now in a Structural Slump
Germany’s economic miracle ended years ago, Germany and Europe’s Mercantilism, Rigid Fiscal Rules and resistance to technology need to go
Mar 23
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Warwick Lightfoot
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Kaput: German and European Economic Institutions set up for economic success sixty years ago are now in a Structural Slump
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Modern India: A Great Power, a rapidly expanding economy that hosts the world’s third largest equity market
Sovereign Socialist Republic of India, more powerful than the Mughal Empire possessing an economy with dynamism to match.
Mar 12
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Warwick Lightfoot
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Modern India: A Great Power, a rapidly expanding economy that hosts the world’s third largest equity market
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January 2025
Challenge of over expanded public sectors: in the UK, Europe and North America
Elevated public expenditure crowding out private sector growth, is a problem in advanced OECD economies, the UK offers an egregious example, the EU…
Jan 29
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Warwick Lightfoot
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Challenge of over expanded public sectors: in the UK, Europe and North America
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November 2024
Labour’s share of national income rises in the UK, while profitability falls
Unlike other economies wages as a share of GDP have risen in the UK since the mid-1990s, while profits have fallen, reflecting a flexible labour market…
Nov 29, 2024
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Warwick Lightfoot
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Labour’s share of national income rises in the UK, while profitability falls
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