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Are British Taxpayers saving up to pay future taxes?
Is the British economy exhibiting neo-Ricardian Equivalence responding both to public debt and public spending?
Aug 26
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Warwick Lightfoot
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Economists at official institutions do not like President Trump and have allowed their antipathy to him to colour their economic analysis
Effective monetary policy, strong corporate and household balance sheets, cheap energy, expansionary fiscal impulse, a tech sector to die for and a…
Jul 31
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Warwick Lightfoot
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US Capital Account and International Finance
US economy has it all: modern productive services, science, and technology, capacity to mobilise the savings of the world to finance its investment, and…
May 17
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Warwick Lightfoot
Inside Thatcher’s Monetarism Experiment: The Promise, the Failure the Legacy
By Tim Lankester - a book that inadvertently shows how British civil service economic thinking needed to change: at its best in 1979 the Treasury was…
Oct 27, 2024
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Warwick Lightfoot
Understanding Consequences of Increased Importance of Intangibles in Modern Economies, for Monetary Policy and Financing Public Debt
Intangible investment has implications for both monetary policy and the costs of public debt management in advanced economies
Jul 19, 2024
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Warwick Lightfoot
Why Fiscal Rules are Redundant and How Public Debt acts as a shock absorber and an enabler for public policy
The big issue government's need to confront is how much and on what they are spending, how this is financed by debt and taxation is a secondary issue in…
May 17, 2024
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Warwick Lightfoot
Milton Friedman’s economic legacy
Given the mistakes of central bankers, economists should look again at Friedman’s ideas, not least his warning that mathematical models were little more…
Apr 13, 2024
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Warwick Lightfoot
Advanced market economies weather shocks in the 21st Century, helped by effective policy
Advanced market economies exhibit capacity to adapt to shocks, helped by effective policy that would be improved by greater emphasis on information from…
Feb 16, 2024
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Warwick Lightfoot
British House of Lords challenges Central Banks' groupthink, record and defective modelling
25 years of independence raise awkward questions about the Bank of England and HM Treasury’s record
Dec 11, 2023
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Warwick Lightfoot
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German Hyperinflation Inflation 1923
Wartime debt and fiscal disorder, a passive monetarily accommodating Central Bank and the social and democratic constraints on policy makers.
Nov 1, 2023
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Warwick Lightfoot
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Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium: Structural Shifts in the Global Economy August 2023
Jackson Hole Central Bank Meeting, what it is about, 2 per cent inflation reaffirmed, US Treasury Market illiquidity, learning to live with government…
Aug 27, 2023
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Warwick Lightfoot
The de facto end of the European Exchange Rate Mechanism
The European Monetary System collapsed thirty years ago in August 1993. This note looks at how it worked, appeared to lower inflation at a price…
Aug 8, 2023
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Warwick Lightfoot
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